Modules:
1. Introduction
2. Influenza Viruses
3. Seasonal, Avian, and Pandemic Influenza
4. Influenza: the disease
5. New Zealand pandemic planning
6. Primary Health Care preparedness
7. Community preparedness
8. Anti-viral Drugs
9. Vaccines
10. Common Questions
11. Resources
12. Course Conclusion

 

Common Questions

What is the difference between seasonal and pandemic influenza?

  • Seasonal influenza causes illness in ~5% of adults and ~20% of children each year
  • Seasonal influenza is usually a self-limiting illness, albeit debilitating, but can lead to complications especially in older people (>65 yrs), the very young and those with certain medical conditions
  • A pandemic arises from a new influenza virus that spreads globally as there is no pre-existing immunity in humans
  • The next pandemic virus does not exist yet and impossible to predict its impact
  • All people will be susceptible to a pandemic virus and may have a higher complication rate than seasonal influenza

What is avian influenza?

  • A bird disease commonly called 'bird flu'
  • One strain of Influenza A (H5N1) has been causing a large bird influenza outbreak since 2003
  • It rarely causes human disease: only 168 confirmed infections (to February 2006)

Why the concern about bird flu?

  • Avian influenza viruses have been the origin of pandemic viruses in the past
  • If H5N1 adapts to people with effective human-to-human spread there will be a pandemic!
  • H5N1 has killed over half the confirmed cases to date(but, if adapts to people, mortality will almost certainly be much lower)
  • H5N1 outbreaks continue in poultry and may be further spread by both migratory birds and the global poultry trade

Can the spread of H5N1 in birds be stopped?

  • Possibly not, but spread can be limited over some years

Will H5N1 cause a pandemic?

  • Impossible to answer at present, but the concern is that it may do so

Can the spread of H5N1 in birds be stopped?

  • Possibly not, but spread can be limited over some years

Will H5N1 cause a pandemic?

  • Impossible to answer at present, but the concern is that it may do so

What is Tamiflu®?

  • An antiviral drug used to treat influenza since the 1990s that:
    • reduces illness by at least one day
    • halves hospitalisation rate
  • Tamiflu® must be given within 48 hours of symptoms starting to be effective
  • Its effectiveness for pandemic influenza is currently unknown as the virus does not exist yet
  • Tamiflu® also prevents influenza; but only works while taking it (it is licensed for up to 6 weeks use); efficacy for pandemic virus unknown, until it emerges

Vaccine against pandemic influenza

  • A vaccine cannot be developed until pandemic virus emerges; New Zealand is likely to receive pandemic vaccine no earlier than 15-27 weeks after a pandemic virus is identified.
  • A vaccine for H5N1 (avian influenza) is being developed but its effectiveness against pandemic virus is unknown as a pandemic virus does not currently exist.
  • Two doses, by injection, are likely to be needed, separated by a 2-4 week interval

How will a pandemic affect us?

  • Potentially, many people could be ill at same time, it could interrupt essential services; and there may be many deaths if virus is virulent
  • Health services are likely to be too stretched to provide hospital services for many pandemic influenza cases or elective services.
  • A major danger could be from fear and panic

Should I be concerned about bird flu?

  • Yes, because it may lead to emergence of a virus that will cause a severe pandemic, and awareness helps to prevent and prepare for a pandemic
  • However, at present it remains a bird disease; and when the virus changes enough to cause a human pandemic, it may not be much more virulent than seasonal influenza

What can be done to help prevent a pandemic starting from H5N1?

  • Control the virus in poultry internationally (there is none in NZ poultry)
  • Prevent contact between infected birds and humans to avoid infections
    • Every human infection is an opportunity for the avian virus to adapt to humans
    • Contact includes touching as well as exposure to bird droppings
    • The H5N1 virus is also found in birds killed by infection; eating improperly cooked poultry (ducks, chicken and other birds) in these countries can lead to infection
    • Encourage annual vaccine for seasonal influenza

Any advance warning for a pandemic?

  • Probably; it depends on how the virus changes to become transmissible in people
    • Good surveillance is vital for early warning
    • Early warning may allow pandemic to be stopped before it develops

Further Q and A refer Ministry of Health website